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BJP’s Bengal Breakthrough: How It Changed the State’s Political Map

deltin55 1970-1-1 05:00:00 views 69

Summary of this article




  • The BJP literally swept the constituencies where Hindus comprised over 70% of the population. This triumph holds deep symbolic significance for the BJP. Late nineteenth century Bengal was the birthplace for Hindutva,
  • The party’s vote share surged from 38% in 2021 to 45.84%, with the party polling nearly 63 lakh more votes than in the previous assembly election.
  • This propelled its seat tally from 77 in 2021 to 206 — 70% of the 294 seats in the West Bengal Assembly.






In one of the most seismic political shifts in recent Indian history, a powerful anti-incumbency wave swept Mamata Banerjee from power after 15 years, catapulting the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) into office in West Bengal with a resounding mandate.






Banerjee, theTrinamool Congress (TMC) supremo, suffered a personal defeat. Nearly two dozen of her ministers also lost their seats. The scale of the BJP’s victory has overshadowed serious controversies surrounding the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) of the electoral rolls, including the deletion of over 27 lakh voters on grounds of alleged discrepancies.




Saffron surge



The BJP’s vote share surged dramatically from 38% in 2021 to 45.84%, with the party polling nearly 63 lakh more votes than in the previous assembly election. This propelled its seat tally from 77 in 2021 to 206 — 70% of the 294 seats in the West Bengal Assembly.



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The BJP made deep inroads even in traditional TMC strongholds where the voter roll revision had minimal impact. This shows how the party would have won even without voter deletions, party leaders argued.



The TMC had secured 215 seats in 2021 and 29 of the state’s 42 Lok Sabha seats in 2024. The party saw its vote share plummet from 48% in 2021 to 40.8%. Its seat count crashed to just 80.



Hindu vote consolidation in favour of the BJP was so pronounced that the party won several seats with 30–50%Muslim populations—an outcome once considered nearly impossible.



In 2021, the TMC had dominated these constituencies, winning 84 out of 88 seats where Muslims formed over 30% of the population. This time, the BJP secured 19 of them.






As many as 61 of the TMC’s winners are from these seats. This underscores the extent of Hindu consolidation. The BJP literally swept the constituencies where Hindus comprised over 70% of the population.



“A cocktail of large-scale voter deletions, strong anti-incumbency, and unprecedented Hindu vote consolidation delivered this result,” observed political scientist Maidul Islam of the Centre for Studies in Social Sciences, Calcutta (CSSSC).



The TMC tried to beat anti-incumbency by highlighting the harassments that the voter roll revision caused. The party appealed to Bengali culinary sensitivities by warning people that the BJP would impose vegetarianism on the state. It turned the Election Commission of India into their principal opponent. Evidently, the majority of the voters were not touched.






Banerjee described the BJP’s victory as an “immoral win”, accusing the poll panel of manipulating results in over a hundred seats at the BJP’s behest. Her own defeat, coupled with the decimation of her party, has left the 71-year-old leader in an unprecedentedly vulnerable position.



The most remarkable aspect of this victory is that the BJP, which won its first Lok Sabha seat in the state on its own strength only in 2014, has now conquered West Bengal — India’s fourth-largest state by parliamentary strength — in just 12 years.



Before Narendra Modi’s rise in 2014, the party was a marginal player in Bengal, languishing with a mere 3–5% vote share.
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