 Summary of this article
- NDA races past majority in the 126-seat assembly, putting Sarma on course for a second term and BJP for a third consecutive victory.
- Centralised leadership, aggressive expansion, and weakening of the Congress behind Assam’s political landscape.
- Congress-led front faces structural decline, with Gaurav Gogoi’s leadership challenge deepening after another likely defeat.
The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance has crossed the majority mark in Assam and kept surging, leading in over 90 of the 126 assembly constituencies as counting of votes continued on Monday, putting Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma firmly on course for a second consecutive term and the party on the cusp of a historic third.
The magic figure in the 126-seat Assam assembly is 64. The NDA has blown past it. With trends still coming in, the BJP is headed for a mandate that far exceeds what most expected. This win would consolidate its grip over the Northeast’s most politically significant state.
Sarma himself is leading in Jalukbari by over 63,000 votes, facing no serious challenge from Congress newcomer Bidisha Neog. In Jalukbari, where Sarma made his electoral debut in 1996, he has remained unbeaten since 2001. Today’s margin is not just a win, but a demolition.
The result carries the weight of a full political arc. Sarma spent 15 years in the Congress before crossing over in 2015 in what was the most consequential political shift in Assam in a generation. He arrived in the BJP with an insider’s understanding of the Congress’s faultlines, he knew which leaders were ambitious, which were sidelined, which had been out of power long enough to consider a move.
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